There have been documented statistical studies which show that Divorce Rate in Maine USA is directly correlated with the consumption of Margarine in USA. So do you think it’s a good idea for Americans to decrease the consumption of Margarine to stabilize the institution of Marriage in Maine USA. This seems hilarious at the best and demonstrates the power of statistics to show a correlation between two random events or occurrences. There seems to be causation between two unrelated events and at the very best we are all better off in ignoring such Spurious Correlations. But do we really ignore such random correlations in our daily life May be or May be not.
Imagine you and your buddy watching a football game and your buddy happened to sneeze and team you are rooting for just had a slight dip in its performance. You blame your friends sneeze for your team’s momentary bad performance in the game. You simply overestimated your friends sneeze to have an effect on your team’s performance in the game. We all seek causation in random events and sometimes we find it even though it’s not existent and become superstitious. When two things happen within a touching distance of time and place we act as if there is a casual effect between them. Our propensity to find causality can at times lead us off the course. We all try to rationalize and ignore the coincidence of actions in most of the cases. Continue reading Would You Rather Cross A Black Cat Or Break A Mirror. A Curious Case Of Spurious Correlation And Causation. Skinners Cage And Superstition In Pigeons.